Picking Every Week 5 NFL Game Against The Spread with Warren Sharp | The Lefkoe Show
- Published: 04 October 2019
- Warren Sharp is back, and he's got the analytics to back up some really exciting football gambling takes. We think the Browns might have been listening last week when Warren told us that they're using way too much 3WR sets. Lefkoe has some fascinating numbers about how teams perform after the bye, and Warren has an interesting explanation that has to do with the Players Association's Collective Bargaining Agreement. There's also some major takes on what the Steelers need to do in order to put Mason Rudolph in the best position to succeed. But most of all, more important than anything, Warren absolutely SHREDS Brian Westbrook for his belief that chocolate + peanut butter is a bad combo. Please let him know on Twitter that chocolate + peanut butter is amazing. Have a great week, and let us know how much MONEY you're making this season!!
2:50 Warren’s statistical models are starting to pan out, but can’t stand all the 1pm games!
5:00 5 of the 12 eventual playoff teams from last year were under .500 after Week 5
7:10 Cleveland must have been reading Warren’s tweets based on the 11 personnel info
10:32 The Eagles vs Green Bay: Any time they were in 12 with Goeddert with Ertz was devastating
15:17 Home-field Advantage is DEAD in the NFL in 2019
18:27 Bye Weeks: Does it actually give you a better chance to win?
19:20 It’s all about the CBA
24:35 49ers and Jets coming off a bye this week can seem like a good bet, but the numbers say different
27:50 Teams with juiced up lines as favorites did very poorly against the spread
29:05 New England is sitting -15.5 v.s Washington, is it too big of a line to take?
32:39 Wait and see: Chicago’s line was -6, moved to -5.5
37:07 Josh Allen vs Matt Barkley: What will we see from the Bills this week
40:00 Looking at the games where the line moved a lot for Week 5
40:30 New Orleans was sitting -6.5 vs. Tampa Bay, it’s now Saints -3.5
44:00 Saints vs Bucs, scheduling edges
47:25 Are the Bucs making a run at the playoffs?
50:40 Predicting Ravens vs Steelers ATS
52:45 The Steeler didn’t prepare Mason Rudolph to be the starting QB
59:15 Ravens are 5-0 ATS in the last five games in Pittsburgh
59:27 Predicting Packers at Cowboys ATS
59:45 Why did Kellen Moore use such an inefficient game plan in Week 4?
1:03:20 Chiefs were sitting -8.5 vs. Colts, now it’s moved all the way up to -11
1:07:07 Denver Broncos are sitting +6.5 at Chargers
1:08:30 Broncos coming off tough past 3 games vs. good defenses
1:14:10 Keenan Allen will be shadowed by Chris Harris, who can LOCK him down
1:15:28 Lefkoe’s leaning toward these spreads this week
1:21:30 Lefkoe calls Krack to make his SuperContest picks
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